TheUnbiasedPortfolio.blogspot.com/
New blog reflects upon "advisor risk" and more
Mike
Mike Macdonald, B.A. (Econ), FMA
Vice President, Consulting
Weigh House Investor Services
Mike Macdonald
Sunday, February 7, 2010
Risk: What my salesperson forgot to mention!
Salesperson Risk: While I have lapsed into using the term advisor, your advisor or financial planner is actually a licensed salesperson. They typically earn money through collecting commissions which are often not disclosed to you even though you will pay the commission either directly (broker commission, flat fee) or indirectly (fund trailer fees, hidden fixed income fees, new issue fees). Most salespeople are paid to gather clients and are rewarded for getting your money into a mutual fund or generating fees off that money. Very few (think basically none) are paid a fee to manage your investments effectively. Whether you make or lose money has very little impact on the income of your salesperson so long as you do not leave the company he works for. Trusting your salesperson to effectively manage your money is a huge risk. Why do you think your salesperson buys mutual funds? It is because they do not know how to properly manage investments themselves.
Individual Security Risk: This risk is commonly called "un-systemic risk" and it refers to the concept of having too much risk in any one security, sector or industry. If you buy individual stocks you take un-systemic risk which can typically be minimized by holding 30+ securities. The catch is the 30+ securities also need to be diversified by geography, sector, and industry. Holding 30 small cap companies is less risky than holding 1 small cap stock, but it is much riskier than holding a mix of small cap, mid cap, and large cap stocks. Similarly you should diversify by asset class (holding bonds as well as stock and cash is a good start). If you have an individual holding that is more than 5% of your portfolio you should look at the security risk and decide whether cutting back on the security might be prudent. (I make an exception if it is a government bond).
The purpose of this blog is to have investors take ownership of their personal "risk" tolerance. To do so you need to understand what your advisor/salesperson is talking about when they mention risk. Many supposedly qualified advisor / salespersons have talked about their clients reassessing the risk tolerance they have. The suggestion is that "clients overestimated their risk tolerance". Nothing could be further from the truth. Your risk tolerance does not change based upon portfolio performance because it is hard wired into your personality. If I had told you the amount of money you were going to lose before the market dropped you would likely have said "no way" because your salesperson / advisor would not leave you exposed to that size of a loss. You likely never understood the risk profile of your portfolio and your salesperson knew that. They understated the market risk you were exposed to and now they are pointing the finger of blame on you for not realizing you should never have trusted their rosy forecast to begin with. They knew that losses were emotionally devastating because they studied the Prospect Theory. Unfortunately they were motivated by the Modern Commission Theory and you were the ticket to their big commission.
Fool us once, shame on the salesperson.....fool us twice.......
soismike
Friday, September 4, 2009
Who Is Fighting Against Modern Commission Theory
It is encouraging to see the number of organizations and ex-industry veterans who continue to lead the charge against what we view as the greedy and unethical majority in the investment industry.
More advocates seem to jumping on board every day. In fact the advocacy boat is getting so full it might well sink under its own weight.
So who are these advocates and what should they do?
Lets first frame the issue as viewed by SOIS Mike, and then look at the players in the world of advocacy.
THE ISSUE:
The Modern Commission Theory holds that the actions of ‘salespersons’
are directly driven by the ability to derive maximum revenue.
Any suggestion that ‘salespeople’ work in the interests of clients to mitigate
risk and / or ensure suitability is naïve at best and most likely is deceitful.
THE PLAYERS:
In an effort to sort out the playing field I have categorized some of the key players on the advocacy front (my opinion only of course) below
n infiltrators (infil-traitors?):
… groups that on the surface are there to help!
The Ombudsman Office of each of the major banks:
The banks are not the nicest people to deal with at the best of times!
But they are amongst the cleverest of the investment folks. Outwardly they have convinced many clients that they have an army of compliance folks just waiting to jump on any trade that is not a perfect match to the client’s needs and risk profile. In fact the compliance folks serve a much more important role in the banks. They are the canary in the coal mine. Complaints come in and are regularly assessed to see what damage they might do to the bank profits and bank reputation. If your claim is deemed to pose little risk you should not be surprised to get a quick note back to you saying your case has been reviewed and you signed and acknowledged the actions of your advisor/manager and thus have no claim.
In fact, the in-house compliance folks at a BIG Bank do a great job of training bank staff to ensure you signed the forms in such a fashion as to minimize bank risk. The problem is the forms are supposed to minimize your risk not the banks! Your complaint provides the bank with all the details they need to build a case against your claim. They have many experts and you are pretty much on your own.
Self-Regulatory Bodies:
The folks at the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and the Mutual Fund Dealers Association of Canada (MFDA) attempt to provide consumer education and basically a friendly face to anybody looking for information on investing. Enough said about self-regulatory organizations (SRO’s) in the past; suffice to say beware strangers offering candy.
In the world of investments you need to ALWAYS follow the money trail.
Who is paying for whom to do what to whom?
SRO’s are member-paid and industry-funded to ensure the most egregious issues are dealt with and buried before the industry gets a black eye.
The day to day slashing and high sticking do not get any attention from these referees.
Nice Guys Finish Last:
This group represents the folks with good ideas and a good heart, but they are entering a gun battle with only a dull knife to defend themselves.
F.A.I.R.: Canadian Foundation for the Advancement of Investor Rights
This group is relatively new and as stated in the past, I do not like their chances of making meaningful change without a regulatory cannon to threaten the powerbrokers in the industry. The approach of keeping a watchful eye on the industry can only drive change if FAIR can harness the media. The ability to harm reputations can get the attention of the industry; however, again we must follow the money. The media will support the ideals of FAIR but only up to the point it causes stress in the advertising budget when a big bank / investment dealer / mutual fund advisor threatens to pull an advertising. –
www.faircanada.ca/en/ Media:
Within the media, there are folks who know right from wrong (well, within the business section anyway). The journalists who challenge fund fees and hidden costs and lack of disclosure are brave souls indeed. They depend on the investment industry for the revenue that keeps the paper / TV station going and keeps them employed. The net result has not been that they sell their souls for ad revenue (at least some of them do not), but their ability to criticize is limited to the generic issues. It is hard to point to a single firm like Investors Group and say “hey, your MERs are way too high”, but they can point to the industry as a whole and do in fact do so on occasion.
Unfortunately many are cheerleaders for the industry and a consensus approach will never happen as long as the media battle for ad revenue.
OBSI Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments
The banks are powerful masters in the Canadian investment scene. With their own Ombudsman offices being ineffective (even the politicians did not fall for that one), an ultimate Bank Ombudsman was set up in 1996 to handle the investors not completely overwhelmed – 100% satisfied by the resolution / restitution offered by the Bank’s own in-house Ombudsman.
Unfortunately, abused financially consumer / investors need to go through the bank’s in-house sham in order to get their complaint elevated to a truly impartial arbitrator at OBSI. How good are these guys......well RBC has stopped dealing with OBSI for banking complaints because they found the Ombudsman was actually listening to the complaints and making sound recommendations that cost the RBC real money! Clearly RBC could not allow that to continue!
So RBC took their ball and bat and set up their own cosy game. Good luck with those RBC complaints! The issue here is clear to see.
The OBSI simply cannot force investment dealers to toe the line. As to why the bank would have an option to back out of this government driven approach is a question for another day. The OBSI clearly states they do not act as an advocate for investors....the scary thing is they might be as close as we get to a true impartial advocate.
Of course, follow the money – OBSI is funded by its participating banks and securities dealing firms.....does this conflict never end!
The Don Quixotes’
In this category I include all of us who knash our teeth at the investment shenanigans but who have neither media clout not enforcement powers. While we are too many to name, you only need to go to a bank board meeting to see somebody stand up and challenge the status quo. Below is a short list of people who continue to tilt.
I exclude myself from the list, not because I do not tilt at windmills, but compared to the folks below, I have accomplished nothing worthy of being included.
The folks below continue the battle with long odds against them. They rile the giants and annoy the heck out of the pretenders in the industry. They just do not give up no matter the odds, the lack of power, and the lack of clout!....and of course, lack of money!
Larry Elford:
http://www.investoradvocate.blogspot.com/ Joe Killoran:
http://www.investorism.com/ Stan Buell:
http://www.sipa.ca/ Ken Kivenko:
http://www.canadianfundwatch.com/ If you look at the sites noted, you will understand that the power of the collective efforts is leveraged by the exposure provided by the internet. The internet however is unfocused and hard to motivate for a single cause. (Unless United Broke Your Guitar of course).
So what are advocates to do?
FIGHT MONEY WITH MONEY: The Political Solution is
n “Money = Power = Money”
The key, if not yet obvious, is to follow the money!
Politicians get elected by fanning the flames of issues to motivate voters, who in turn vote for the politician and thus give them access to the money! Most voters are totally disillusioned by the investment world and how it operates. GREAT! That makes it a top of mind issue for politicians!
Our only hope of making meaningful change is to have a political solution.....why?
Because politicians trade power for money!
And the only way to deal with the powerbrokers is to have more power.... and the only one with more power than the investment world is the political world. And they will only use the power in return for THE MONEY!
In short, the message to all advocates is focus on the politics (as disgusting as it may be to many) because the regulatory approach just does not work!
Instead of bringing our dull knife to the gun fight, we need to borrow a tank from the government and resolve this issue for good!
You’re “not likely to in my lifetime” – author....SOIS MIKE
Posted by sois mike at 12:29 PM
Labels: Who Is Fighting Against Modern Commission Theory
Sunday, July 5, 2009
Investor Hopes: Canadian Security Institute or Investor Advocates
Grey Knights and Mixed Messages:
n The Canadian Securities Institute or Investor Advocates
Mike Macdonald
As I look through the massive reams of media commentary on Investor Education and the flurry of activity from so-called SRO’s and other industry shills, two questions come to mind:
1- How did Canada, a well educated, conservative, rational nation of mostly honest people end up with such poor consumer protection and awareness in the area of investing?
2- Who is going to be the white knight that will expose the flaws in a multi-billion dollar industry that does not want to change?
The questions are quite simple; the answers a lot more vague than I would have thought. To set the scene lets first acknowledge that much of what is wrong is the result of entrenched financial interests.
n Things do not just happen....people have agendas and set out to make things the way they are.
Having said that; it also appears that some people with great intentions have added to the problems they were trying to fix. A primary reason seems to be that the white hats always focus on changing the consumer behaviour while remaining either helpless to deal with the industry or unable to find a strong regulatory body to act for the consumer against the industry.
So, on to question number one; How did we get here?
Since investor education is considered a current buzz word, let’s focus on the body that claims to educate both the advisors/brokers/salespeople as well as the public. The Canadian Securities Institute is a company that sells courses required for people to enter the financial securities industry. They also provide courses on securities and investing for the average investor as well as financial planning courses. There is a very good chance your investment advisor and insurance agent have taken a CSI course to get licensed. Thus we have the source of much of the training that has given us the advisors of today in one spot, managed by one firm with a pure education mandate! So that appears to be strength, right. But when you scratch the surface things are more grey than black and white.
The Canadian Securities Institute makes more money by attracting more people to the industry and thus providing more courses. They also make more money if the mutual fund firms are happy with the process and send all the new recruits to the courses.
n Thus the courses are “mutual fund friendly”.
Sample from a wealth management course: “An investor is looking to invest money for two years and is offered a 10% return by a mutual fund....” Let’s stop right there! This is a course for wealth managers (Wealth Management Techniques) and
n it uses an example of a 10% mutual fund return over a 2 year investment horizon!
That might seem like a moderate return to a hedge fund like the one that financed the privatization of the CSI, but a couple planning on using the money in 2 years should never be in a hedge fund. The assumptions are clear; mutual funds offer options such as guaranteed 10% returns and clients with a 2 year time horizon before a major purchase should look at mutual funds. The course does not clarify what type of fund offers such a deal of course! It is little wonder new advisors think funds are a bullet proof way to get rich when the advanced planning courses they take teach them just that!
As stated, nothing in the industry is ever all bad or all good. The CSI does teach ethics and does a good job of teaching the benefits of diversification and of explaining the workings of many securities
n The main challenge is that the educational industry is intricately tied to the fund industry and is not in an independent position to expose the issues and challenges that come with funds.
In many subtle ways (as in the above example) the institute has given in to the fund industry and abdicated the educational independence required to provide critical comparisons of competing strategies. That's why our education system has public funding and not corporate ownership; otherwise Coca Cola would be taught to be health food!
Question 2: Who will be the white knight?
Independent consumer advocates are our only current hope! Amazingly, it is refugees from the fund companies who are its biggest critics and who are opening the doors on the industry’s activities. Warren MacKenzie, an ex-insider, wrote the Unbiased Advisor which is an expose on how advisors exploit investors. (Disclaimer; I work with Warren)
As the likes of hard-line investor advocates Joe Killoran and Ken Kivenko rattle the chains of politicians and the regulators; small parts of the industry are being exposed to light. The media plays a big, if somewhat conflicted, role as well. Consumer advocates like Ellen Roseman, Rob Carrick and Jonathon Chevreau tread the line of exposing the bad parts of the industry while realizing fund companies advertise a lot in their papers. William Hanley from the National Post has written very direct articles on the industry shortcomings as well.
Unfortunately, I suspect the above advocates will never be in the same room together due to some strong personalities and significant differences of opinion. Nonetheless, they will continue to push the envelope (Ken and Joe) and build on the small gains (the media folks) and collectively they will move investor advocacy forward. As for Warren, he is trying to change the industry from the inside with a radical new advice model that may or may not gain traction.
Where will F.A.I.R. land in this mix? Too early to say as they have not really shown their true colours yet, just the tangle of connections to the industry money that makes me so nervous.
Are we winning? No.
Will we win? I do not know.
Will the above folks quit the battle and surrender? I hope not !
Tilting at windmills.....sois mike
TheUnbiasedPortfolio.blogspot.com/
Eventually, an advocacy group will gain real punitive powers, until then it is good folks tilting at windmills!
Mike Macdonald
Thursday, June 11, 2009
WHY I FEAR F.A.I.R.!
F.A.I.R. OR NOT FAIR?
I WOULD GRADE THEM
n FAIR AT BEST!
The Canadian Foundation for the Advancement of Investor Rights (F.A.I.R.) was launched in September of 2008. Undoubtedly you have been as overwhelmed with their good work as I have!
Ermanno Pascutto, the Executive Director, has raised the funds ($3.7 million) necessary to launch the Foundation from IIROC; and of course IIROC is a merged entity created by Investment Dealers Association (IDA) and the Market Regulatory Services organization (MRS). We are delighted to see that such distinguished investor advocates are willing to back this venture!
For those of you without a sarcasm detector, the Investment Dealer Association and MRS are two of the very good reasons we need an advocate for the investing public. Both are “self regulatory bodies”, which in the investment industry seems to mean they help ensure the big players run the industry without having to worry about real regulatory bodies constantly demanding they do what is right for investors!
The goals of an organization often provide some insight into how they will carry themselves in the process of assisting you and me. As an investor advocacy group I would expect that the foundation would
n “provide clear policies for immediate implementation”,
n “demand action on outstanding issues”, and
n “fight to ensure investors are treated fairly”!
In fact F.A.I.R.’s primary goals include such hard hitting items as:
o “making reports”,
o “proactively identifying trends”, and
when bad stuff happens to investors they will
o “encourage action”!
So, you just lost your pension money in the market, discovered the advice you received was suitable for either an 18 year old with $40.00 to invest or a gazillionnaire looking for losses! You are mad, frustrated and most importantly broke!
n Your Advisor referred you to his boss, the Investment Dealer, who said tough luck buddy.
n You complain to the ombudsman for the dealer (if they even have one) but again, tough luck! !
n You can go to the Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investment (OBSI), again good luck!
n The IIROC folks appear to have no interest in the matter and the local paper agrees you got shafted but it is so common it’s not even news.
n So you head to the F.A.I.R. folks and say THIS IS NOT RIGHT!
So what can we expect? Based upon the goals of the foundation it may look like this:
Yes, we have identified that a trend that appears to be emerging is that you and your fellow investors are getting shafted on suitability. As a matter of fact we are preparing a report as we speak outlining this trend and also encouraging the IIROC to review their files and see if they are seeing a similar trend. If so we can assure you we will suggest they take some action at an appropriate time to make things somehow better. We want to be careful of course not to do anything drastic that might imply our “one time” funding (nudge, nudge, wink, wink) was being utilized to serve the one sided needs of the powerless investor at the expense of the well funded industry big boys!
What do we need? A great response to an investor would be something like this:
You are right, you have been shafted along with hundreds of others who have called and emailed us with their concerns.
We are preparing a press release naming the major offending firms and demanding a meeting with the Presidents within the week.
If it does not happen we are launching a media blitz and a letter/email campaign to all MPP’s and MP’s.
We are also going to be sending registered letters to the independent members of the Board of the firms who are the greatest offenders based upon our data.
We have begun to raise funds to support a class action suit against the major brokerage firms and mutual fund firms for return of hidden fees and lack of disclosure of fees in plain English/French.
The advisors have been knowingly selling funds without ensuring the investor is aware of and understands all the fees and risks and alternative investments they should be aware of!
In short we are going to be the worst nightmare for the IIROC and every other SRO who has let the investor down!
Okay, maybe I am looking for more than any foundation sponsored by the industry can offer. My point is that no group who accepts funds from an industry SRO can truly reflect the average investor.
We need an Eliot Spitzer (the lawyer not the politician) who can hold large dollar penalties over the heads of these firms. Money talks and no investment firm is going to voluntarily give up easy money just to do what is right!
MY POINT: The situation is a crisis for small investors and a bump in the profit trail for major investment firms. Until the issues of the average investor can threaten the bonus of the big bosses NOTHING will EVER change!
Let me by very clear, F.A.I.R. are great people and I do not in any way doubt the integrity of the Directors of the Foundation. However, they set a dangerous precedent because they are toothless watchdogs; but they give politicians and the investment firms the ability to point and say “the interests of small investors are being met” by this august body of advocates.
Simply put; the best intentions of the F.A.I.R. Foundation is no match for the fire power of the investment firms. In real life David gets pounded to a pulp by Goliath!
Reality sucks, eh!
Sois mike
Posted by sois mike at 1:01 PM
Labels: WHY I FEAR F.A.I.R.
http://faircanada.ca/en/ Dealer Representatives:
One of the few points of clarity for investors in this bizarre regulatory mess was the fact that market registrants – securities salespeople – were licensed as “salespeople”. The primary focus of regulators should be to add clarity to the security industry. Instead our regulatory folks thought this would be a good time to blur titles so that investors have no idea whether they are dealing with a sales person striving for a fee or commission, or a fiduciary advisor focused on investor needs.
n In Canada, now you will deal with a “dealer representative”, which is Latin for “huh?”
Apparently the solution to the concern about selling securities nobody can understand is to create titles that nobody can understand! Clear only to IIROC and the MFDA, we can presume !!